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It's time for fantasy football owners to bench DeAndre Hopkins

techsm5

Bad news is often just a matter of timing.

Namely, revealing to your parents that you ended up in a fender bender years ago might elicit a chuckle. Calling them from the side of the road while waiting for the cops could mean they revoke your driving privileges.

Bad news can even be good when delivered at the right time. Think, a buddy pointing and shouting “Watch out!” just in time for you to swerve and miss entering a fender bender. The information relayed is bad news (the guy you’re following just slammed on the brakes, creating a dangerous situation), but it was relayed at a time when you could still act to avoid the worst consequences.

Oh, this reminds us that we have bad news. You probably don’t want to use DeAndre Hopkins in Fantasy Championship week. And that goes beyond the fact that he is leaving training after fine-tuning his knee on Friday. It was a dangerous fantasy situation even before.

But we also have good news (of sorts): we broke the bad news to you in time for you to do something about it.

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Hopkins hasn’t been good at Arizona with anyone other than Kyler Murray as QB. So Colt McCoy, Trace McSorley, it doesn’t matter. He goes to McStink.

Since 2020, Hopkins has played 29 games with Murray and five with the other two. In Kyler games, he averages 17.38 in PPR formats. Without Kyler, he averages 13.04.

That might not seem like a huge difference, but consider: Averaging 17.4 would put him 10th among all wide receivers this season, ahead of Tee Higgins and Jaylen Waddle. But a 13.0 average would put him alongside Jerry Jeudy in the WR28 lineup.

DeAndre Hopkins
DeAndre Hopkins
USA TODAY Sports

Now, how confident do you feel playing Jeudy this week? And chances are most of these concerns are related to health rather than just performance.

Although Hopkins did better with McCoy than with McSorley, it’s not like McCoy proves a lot of fantastic opportunities for all WRs. In the three games in which McCoy won the bulk of the snaps, he averaged just 234 passing yards per game.

At least Hopkins has a good game, right? After all, the Falcons are ranked 23rd against the opposing Fantasy WRs. Well, yes, they do. But now back to the timing.

This information was much more relevant towards the middle of the season. By Week 9, Atlanta was giving up 45.5 points per week to WRs in PPR. Over the past six games, the Falcons have allowed just 19.9 per game.

On the whole season, they gave up 35.2 per game to the WRs, 3.0 more than the league average (32.3), according to ESPN. Over the last six games (19.9), they’ve beaten the season-best average (Broncos, 25.3) by almost six points a week.

So Hopkins has a bad QB, a bad record with that bad QB, in a masked game to be better than he is, in a week where you can’t afford lineup mistakes.

We give you bad news at the right time. Hopkins bench.

great weeks

Geno Smith QB, Seahawks, vs. Jets (FanDuel $7,100 / DraftKings $5,900)

We’re not sure Geno will have a good day. But we think he’ll be looking forward to sticking with the Jets. Don’t be surprised when he scores a rushing TD.

Geno Smith
Geno Smith
Getty Images

Brian Robinson RB, Commanders, vs. Browns (FD $6,900 / DK $5,200)

The kind of volume he gets against the kind of generosity the Browns’ run defense provides (30th against opposing fantasy RBs), sign us up.

Drake London WR, Falcons, vs. Cardinals (FD $6,700 / DK $4,900)

He was getting about six targets per game through Week 12. In two games with Desmond Ridder at QB, he’s averaging 10 par. He spent two weeks bettering eight of his previous 10 games.

Tyler Higbee TE, Rams, at Chargers (FD $6,100 / DK $4,600)

Since Baker Mayfield became QB, he has over 20 PPR per game. Don’t chase the fantasies of Cole Kmet, Dallas Goedert or Darren Waller if it means sitting Higbee down.

Little weaklings

Josh Jacobs RB, Raiders, vs 49ers (FD $8,500 / DK $7,400)

He’s been overworked all year, and now his coaching staff is sending emails for the rest of the season, so why would Jacobs or the Raiders as a whole be motivated to play hard? Oh, they also face the toughest fantasy run defense.

Nick Chubb RB, Browns, at Commanders (FD $7,800 / DK $7,300)

Remember what we said last week about his late-season fading? Now factor in a tougher game on the road against a team with something more tangible to play for.

Nick Chubb
Nick Chubb
Getty Images

DK Metcalf WR, Seahawks, vs. Jets (FD $7,600 / DK $6,900)

The Jets won’t follow him with Sauce Gardner, but expect them to roll the cover in his direction.

Michael Pittman Jr. WR, Colts, at Giants (FD $7,200 / DK $6,200)

Last week, the short-lived Matt Ryan Era looked like the salad era. Outside of paltry production, the lack of downhill attempts by the Colts as a whole with Nick Foles at QB was troubling.

Daily Duel of Madness

Site: DraftKings
Slate: Main Sun (13 games)
Type: $20 tournament
First price : $1 million
Jar: $2.5M

Drew’s Crew

QB – Justin Fields (Chi, to Det) $7,900)

RB – D’Andre Swift (Det, vs. Chi) $5,300

RB – Khalil Herbert (Chi, to Det) $4,000

Khalil Herbert
Khalil Herbert
Mark Black/UPI/Shutterstock

WR – Amon-Ra St. Brown (Det, vs. Chi) $7,800

WR – Isaiah Hodgins (NYG, vs Ind) $4,500

WR – Drake London (Atl, vs Ari) $4,900

TE – George Kittle (SF, to LV) $5,900

Flex – AJ Dillon (GB, vs Min) $5,800

DST – Giants (NYG, vs Ind) $3,900

Wilk’s Warriors

QB – Tom Brady (TB, vs. Car) $6,100

RB—Travis Etienne (Jac, to Hou) $6,400

RB – Brian Robinson (was, vs. Cle) $5,200

WR – Chris Godwin (TB, v Car) $4,300

WR – Drake London (Atl, vs Ari) $4,900

WR – Jaylen Waddle (Mia, NE) $7,500

TE—Evan Engram (Jac, at Hou) $4,400

Flex – Cam Akers (LAR, to BAC) $6,100

DST – Patriots (NE, vs Mia) $2,600

For late listing odds, follow @NYPost_Loftis and @NYPost_Roto on Twitter

Risky season: $148
Earnings of the season: Jarad $95, Drew $27

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techsm5




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